top-500-asset managers

by Celero Playground

The world's largest 500 asset managers

A Thinking Ahead Institute and Pensions & Investments joint study | October 2023

Page 1

Table of Contents

  • Page 03 – Thinking Ahead Institute
  • Page 04 – Executive summary
  • Page 11 – Section 1: Total value of assets
  • Page 28 – Section 2: Analysis of the largest 20 asset managers
  • Page 35 – Section 3: Passive management
  • Page 37 – Section 4: Manager insights on the industry
  • Page 41 – Section 5: Definitions
  • Page 44 – Section 6: TAI/ P&I 500 ranking
  • Page 56 – Limitations of reliance

Page 2

The Thinking Ahead Institute

The Thinking Ahead Institute (TAI) is a not-for-profit research and innovation network motivated to influence the investment industry for the good of savers worldwide and to mobilise capital for a sustainable future. Since its establishment in 2015, almost 90 investment organisations have collaborated to bring this vision to light through designing fit-for-purpose investment strategies, working towards better organisational effectiveness and strengthening stakeholder legitimacy.

The Thinking Ahead Group research team

  • Marisa Hall
  • Tim Hodgson
  • Roger Urwin
  • Jessica Gao
  • Andrea Caloisi
  • Isabella Martin
  • Anastassia Johnson

Page 3

Executive summary

Overview and key findings

Page 4

Executive summary

Total discretionary assets under management (AUM) of the 500 managers included in the ranking amounted to USD 113.7 trillion at the end of 2022, down by 13.7% from the end of 2021.

BlackRock has held its position as the largest asset manager in the ranking since 2009, Vanguard has remained second in the last decade, and Fidelity Investments maintains its top three status for the third consecutive year.

AUM change by region: Japan saw a 5.5% decrease, followed by North America with a 14.2% decrease, and Europe (incl the U.K.) experienced a 16.8% decrease. Managers from the rest of the world category had a relatively more resilient year, with their AUM decreasing by 3.6%.

AUM for North America accounted for 59.5% of the total AUM in the top 500 managers, with USD 67.7 trillion at the end of 2022.

Top 500 managers amounted USD 113.7 trillion AUM at the end of 2022

Total AUM decreased by 13.7% compared to end of 2021

AUM decreased in all regions ranging from -16.8% to -3.6%

Page 5

Executive summary

The top 20 managers' share of the total assets decreased from 45.2% in 2021 to 44.2% in 2022. Their total AUM decreased by 15.5% to USD 50.3 trillion.

There are 14 U.S. managers in the Top 20, accounting for 80.1% of the top 20 AUM, the rest are European managers.

Of the Top 20, over half of them (12) are independent asset managers, followed by banks (6) and insurer-owned managers (2).

Traditional equity and fixed income continued to make up most assets, accounting for 77.4% of all assets (45.1% equity and 32.3% fixed income). This represents a 2.4% decrease from the previous year.

Investment in passive strategies now accounts for 34.7% of the total, marking a 4.0% increase in its share of investments, while actively managed assets represent 65.3%, experiencing a 2.0% decrease compared to the previous year.

Top 20 managers' AUM share is 44.2%

Top 20 consists of 14 U.S. managers, the remaining being European

Passive investments participation in total investments increased by 4.0%

Page 6

Key data

Assets managed by region (USD trillion)

  • North America: $67.7
  • Europe: $30.1
  • Japan: $5.8
  • Rest of the world: $10.1

Average asset allocation in 2022

  • Equities: 45.1%
  • Fixed income: 32.3%
  • Cash and alternatives: 15.0%
  • Other: 7.6%

Page 7

Asset management industry trends

Macro uncertainty complicated by systemic risk

  • Throughout 2022, major stock markets witnessed considerable turbulence and uncertainty, effectively erasing most of the gains achieved in the record-breaking year of 2021. High inflation and interest rates disrupted the markets worldwide, also influenced by heightened geopolitical tensions. While macro uncertainty remains high, a common theme was to expect a higher for longer regime in interest rates in which concerns about inflation and growth remain elevated.

  • With the removal of tailwind conditions for asset values, the asset management business has had to deal with considerable stress with costs on a natural rise. This margin pressure has led to asset managers adopting bigger change profiles in which a focus on private markets, increased personalisation and use of technology are common strategies.

  • The potential for a single event to trigger widespread market disruption remains a constant concern. Systemic risk puts emphasis on the need for forward thinking and re-positioning strategy with investment processes that are able to model, measure and adapt to systemic risk. Risk systems are under pressure to respond to these new circumstances. The investment environment has become increasingly complex, with a multitude of factors influencing investment decisions and investors having to navigate geopolitical events, technological developments and regulatory changes in addition to economic indicators.

Page 8

Asset management industry trends

Sustainability stays top of mind

  • Sustainability and ESG factors continue to be integral to investment programs, even though the journey is increasingly challenged with politicisation and increasing levels of regulation. Standardisation of sustainability reporting has been a theme and has received a boost from the ISSB issuing global sustainability disclosure standards. The other main theme is increasing attention given to climate risk and emissions reporting and management.

  • Rightsizing of sustainability efforts has received more attention, with investment organisations needing to balance regulatory compliance, enabling positive sustainability impacts and navigating through the challenge of net-zero commitments, while also maintaining fiduciary integrity.

  • Making the transition to a sustainable investment organisation critically needs strong culture and enhanced capabilities. Most investment organisations have an ESG knowledge and skills gap to fill and will have to improve ESG data practices to make it decision-useful.

  • Stewardship is an important element of the new emerging investment model, where sustainability resourcing involves thinking through motivations, strategy and ambition. Collaboration within and across organisations can make available resources more productive and help achieve positive outcomes which for many asset managers includes real-world impact outcomes.

Page 9

Asset management industry trends

Emerging influence of technology and AI

  • There are promising technological advancements in the development of artificial intelligence (AI) and automation, which can benefit asset managers in building resilience and meeting current challenges. These technologies have potential to significantly improve efficiency and operational performance, giving leaders in this area an opportunity to build a strategic advantage. The use of generative AI and large language models (LLMs) has significantly enhanced the scope of technological application at asset manager organisations and in respect of their clients.

  • There are many benefits AI brings to the investment industry; however, risks should also be considered and managed. Regulatory uncertainty, challenges in explaining and documenting the workings and outputs of complex models and ensuring appropriate governance around using such models are all new risks that require controls and frameworks to be managed effectively.

  • Technology affects all asset management roles with likely redundancy over time particularly in the operational and distribution areas. The front-line investment professionals must adapt to the opportunities for technology to improve efficiency but are as yet less at risk from being replaced. The competition for talent in technology roles has rocketed. In this hypercompetitive landscape, attracting talent is evolving into a dynamic interplay of factors which include compensation, flexibility, but also empowerment and creating the right culture.

Page 10

Section 1 | Total value of assets

Page 11

Total value of assets managed

Split by manager domicile

Year North America Europe (inc U.K.) Rest of the world Japan
2013 42,020 26,340 3,508 4,560
2014 44,458 25,950 3,836 3,902
2015 43,990 24,655 4,166 4,023
2016 47,399 25,344 4,675 3,748
2017 54,549 29,275 5,418 4,517
2018 51,791 28,291 6,368 4,501
2019 62,321 29,789 6,655 5,623
2020 70,627 34,771 7,946 6,197
2021 78,877 36,199 10,524 6,127
2022 67,651 30,133 10,144 5,791

The AUM variation for managers in Europe (inc. the U.K.), North America and Japan were -16.8%, -14.2% and -5.5% respectively in 2022.

Assets managed by firms in the Rest of the world category decreased by 3.6% during 2022.

Page 12

Total value of assets managed

Split by segment

Year Top 20 managers Managers 21-50 Managers 51-250 Managers 251-500
2013 41.0% 22.2% 31.1% 5.7%
2014 41.6% 22.8% 29.5% 6.1%
2015 41.4% 23.1% 29.6% 5.9%
2016 41.9% 22.8% 29.4% 5.9%
2017 42.8% 22.8% 28.8% 5.6%
2018 42.1% 21.9% 30.0% 5.9%
2019 43.0% 21.2% 30.3% 5.5%
2020 44.0% 21.2% 29.3% 5.4%
2021 45.2% 20.4% 29.1% 5.3%
2022 44.2% 20.6% 29.6% 5.6%

The top 20 retained a substantial portion of the AUM, accounting for 44.2% of the total, a decrease from 2021.

Conversely, managers ranked 21 to 50 saw their AUM share increase from 20.4% in 2021 to 20.6% in 2022. This marks the first increase since 2015.

Similarly, managers ranked 51 to 250 and 251 to 500, saw their participation increase by 0.5% and 0.3% in 2022.

Page 13

Evolution of median AUM

For 2022, there is a significant downturn, with the total AUM growth decreasing -13.7%.

Median AUM for the Top 500 landed at USD 56 trillion in 2022, down 9.4% since 2021.

Chart shows 500 Median AUM, 500 Growth, and Median growth from 2013 to 2022 (USD billion)

Page 14

Distribution of assets by country

Five-year intervals (2012 to 2022, in USD)

The last decade has seen an increase in assets mostly from U.S., Canada, China, South Korea, India (33 bps), Hong Kong and Liechtenstein (18 bps). In contrast, many European countries and Japan have lost market share during this period.

2012: Australia 1.5%, Belgium 0.3%, Brazil 1.1%, Canada 3.9%, China 0.6%, France 7.7%, Germany 7.9%, Italy 2.2%, Japan 7.1%, South Korea 0.7%, Netherlands 2.4%, South Africa 1.2%, Spain 1.2%, Sweden 0.6%, Switzerland 4.3%, U.K. 7.4%, U.S. 48.7%, Other 1.3%

2017: Australia 1.4%, Belgium 0.1%, Brazil 0.9%, Canada 4.9%, China 1.7%, France 7.7%, Germany 5.8%, Italy 1.6%, Japan 4.8%, South Korea 0.8%, Netherlands 2.0%, South Africa 0.5%, Spain 0.7%, Sweden 0.5%, Switzerland 4.0%, U.K. 7.4%, U.S. 53.3%, Other 1.8%

2022: Australia 1.5%, Belgium 0.2%, Brazil 0.7%, Canada 5.4%, China 4.7%, France 5.9%, Germany 5.0%, Italy 1.4%, Japan 5.1%, South Korea 0.9%, Netherlands 1.5%, South Africa 0.4%, Spain 0.6%, Sweden 0.5%, Switzerland 4.0%, U.K. 6.2%, U.S. 54.1%, Other 2.1%

Page 15

2017-2022 average annualised growth of AUM by market

USD terms vs. local currency (LC) terms

Market 5 yr CAGR to USD 5 yr CAGR to LC
Brazil 0.2% 10.0%
U.K. 0.3% 2.5%
Eurozone 2.1% -
South Korea 5.1% 8.8%
Denmark 1.8% 4.1%
Liechtenstein 6.8% 5.6%
Switzerland 3.8% 2.6%
Japan 5.1% 8.5%
Australia 5.3% 8.2%
U.S. 4.2% 4.2%
Sweden 0.8% -
South Africa 1.8% -
Canada 6.0% 7.6%
Hong Kong 8.4% 8.9%
India 9.1% 14.9%
Norway 11.1% 15.2%
China 27.0% 28.6%

Regions with a higher compound annual growth in Local Currency terms indicate depreciation of their currencies against the USD over the period 2017-2022.

Page 16

Annualised change in exchange rates (LC against USD)

31 December 2017 to 31 December 2022

Country Annualised Change
Taiwan -0.7%
Switzerland +1.1%
U.K. -2.2%
China -1.2%
Euro countries -2.3%
Denmark -2.3%
Malaysia -1.6%
Thailand -1.2%
Canada -1.5%
Japan -3.1%
South Korea -3.4%
Sweden -4.7%
Australia -2.7%
Hong Kong 0.0%
Norway -3.6%
India -5.1%
South Africa -6.1%
Brazil -8.9%

Page 17

AUM by asset allocation

Average asset allocation for 2022 was 45.1% to Equity, 32.3% to Fixed Income, 7.9% to Cash, 7.1% to Alternatives and 7.6% to Other*.

Year-on-year AUM decrease in 2022 was led by Equity (inc. REITS) with a 19.6% drop, followed by Fixed Income with a 14.5% drop and alternatives with a 7.2% drop.

Other and cash had declines of 6.5% and 1.3% respectively.

Year Equity (inc REITS) Fixed Income Alternatives Cash Other*
2018 20,280 17,708 3,517 3,649 3,594
2019 25,427 20,094 3,791 4,137 3,926
2020 29,709 23,026 4,299 4,914 4,654
2021 35,529 23,923 4,844 5,084 5,178
2022 28,548 20,458 4,493 5,017 4,843

*Other includes balanced funds/strategies, multi-asset funds, infrastructure, commodities, private debt, derivatives, currency, transition accounts, structured products and more.

Based on a subset of 191 asset managers in the 2022 ranking who provided relevant data for all years since 2018.

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Growth of asset classes

Year-on-year (YoY) growth, based on a subset of 191 asset managers in the 2022 ranking who provided relevant data for all years since 2018.

  • Equity (inc. REITS): Strong growth in 2019-2021, sharp decline in 2022 (below -10%)
  • Fixed Income: Moderate growth in 2019-2021, significant decline in 2022
  • Alternatives: Steady growth in 2019-2021, decline in 2022
  • Cash: Growth in 2019-2020, declining trend through 2022 (near 0%)
  • Other: Growth in 2019-2020, sharp decline in 2022
  • Total: Growth in 2019-2021, sharp decline in 2022 (below -10%)

Page 19

Performance of benchmark indices

Equities

U.S. equities had negative returns of -9.6% on average.

The MSCI Asian (ex Japan) and MSCI EM (Emerging Markets) indices lagged recovery with negative average returns of -13.1% and -13.7% respectively in 2022.

Chart shows monthly performance of the following indices from January 2022 to December 2022:

  • MSCI Europe (Unhedged)
  • MSCI AC Asia ex Japan (Unhedged)
  • MSCI EM (Emerging Markets) (Unhedged)
  • MSCI AC World (Unhedged)
  • MSCI USA (Unhedged)

Page 20

Performance of benchmark indices

Fixed income

All selected indices had negative returns, with the JPMorgan EMBI Global Core index, experiencing a decrease of 18.3% over the year, showing the most significant decline.

On the other hand, the Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield index had the best performance with average negative returns of 6.7% in 2022.

Indices tracked (Jan-22 to Dec-22):

  • JPMorgan EMBI Global Core USD
  • Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate (Unhedged)
  • iBoxx $ Corporates (Unhedged)
  • Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield (Unhedged)

Page 21

Asset allocation by vehicle

Mutual Funds/UCITs comprised 69.9% of surveyed assets in 2022. Its participation has been relatively stable during the last five years, increasing by 27bps in 2022.

YoY AUM growth in 2022 was -14.4% and -19.9% for other pooled/commingled and separate accounts, respectively. Mutual Funds/UCITs also decreased by 17.6%.

AUM by vehicle (USD billions):

Year Mutual Funds/UCITs Separate Accounts Other pooled/commingled
2018 19,037 6,787 2,032
2019 22,857 7,633 2,439
2020 25,699 8,918 2,830
2021 29,082 9,627 3,037
2022 23,978 7,707 2,600

Based on a subset of 135 asset managers in the 2022 ranking who provided relevant data for all years since 2018.

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Asset participation by regional client exposure

AUM by region (USD billions):

Region 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
U.S. 38,125 44,242 38,444 33,038 27,180
Canada 1,474 1,756 1,515 1,343 1,113
Europe (ex U.K.) 10,366 12,564 11,904 9,741 8,762
U.K. 4,684 6,078 5,638 5,181 4,528
Japan 2,356 2,820 2,615 2,253 1,829
Australia 948 903 950 847 724
Other 1,593 2,007 1,518 1,418 1,261
Asia (ex Japan) 2,411 2,700 2,331 1,942 1,669

Based on a subset of 151 asset managers in the 2022 ranking who provided relevant data for all years since 2018.

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Asset allocation based on client category

AUM by client category (US$ billions):

Category 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Non-government retirement plans 7,760 9,068 10,115 10,785 8,983
Government retirement plans 2,314 2,672 3,009 3,500 3,102
Non-affiliated insurance companies 2,766 3,460 4,285 4,485 4,152
Sovereign wealth funds 642 830 907 970 868
Endowments & foundations 576 673 818 940 810
Central banks 276 295 365 408 320
Other 7,497 8,461 9,659 11,148 8,504

Based on a subset of 146 asset managers in the 2022 ranking who provided relevant data for all years since 2018.

Page 24

Allocation to ESG principles

Amount allocated to ESG principles decreased by 13.4% in 2022.

Despite this decrease in ESG investments to 10,690bn, their proportion within the portfolio surged to 26.4%, marking the highest level across these three years.

Amount invested in ESG Principles (USD billions):

  • 2020: 10,135
  • 2021: 12,342
  • 2022: 10,690

Dispersion on ESG Principles allocation in 2022

N=111 25th percentile Median 75th percentile Average
2022 12.1% 62.4% 100.0% 55.8%
2021 10.1% 63.9% 100.0% 55.5%
2020 10.6% 50.9% 100.0% 53.4%

Based on a subset of 111 asset managers in the 2022 ranking who provided relevant data for all years since 2020.

Page 25

Allocation to ESG mandates

Dollar amount allocated to ESG mandates decreased by 3.9% in 2022.

Despite this decrease in ESG mandates to 2,057 bn, their participation in total investments surged to 6.3%, the highest level observed across these three years.

Amount invested in ESG mandates (USD billions):

  • 2020: 1,435
  • 2021: 2,141
  • 2022: 2,057

Dispersion on ESG mandates allocation in 2022

N=59 25th percentile Median 75th percentile Average
2022 1.1% 3.7% 10.5% 12.1%
2021 0.6% 3.9% 10.1% 11.4%
2020 0.5% 2.5% 7.8% 10.1%

Based on a subset of 59 asset managers in the 2022 ranking who provided relevant data for all years since 2020.

Page 26

Allocation to LDI

Assets amount invested in LDI saw a 25.1% decrease in 2022, in contrast with the 6% increase in the previous year.

Amount invested in LDI (USD billions):

  • 2020: 3,521
  • 2021: 3,733
  • 2022: 2,794

Dispersion on LDI in 2022

N=44 25th percentile Median 75th percentile Average
2022 0.9% 3.8% 11.1% 13.8%
2021 1.0% 4.1% 11.3% 14.0%
2020 1.0% 4.6% 13.0% 13.6%

Based on a subset of 44 asset managers in the 2022 ranking who provided relevant data for all years since 2020.

Page 27

Section 2 | Analysis of the largest 20 and 50 asset managers

Page 28

Total value of assets managed by Top 20

Split by manager domicile

In 2022, there were 14 U.S. managers in the Top 20 accounting for 80.1% of the assets. The remaining assets were managed by European firms.

Assets of U.S. top 20 companies decreased in 2022 by 17.4% (from USD 48,726 billion to USD 40,242 billion).

Assets of European (including U.K.) top companies also suffered a hit, decreasing by 6.9% (from USD 10,768 billion to USD 10,027 billion) over 2022.

AUM by domicile (USD billions):

Year U.S. Europe (inc U.K.)
2013 20,852 10,474
2014 21,280 11,191
2015 22,190 9,618
2016 24,993 9,019
2017 29,325 10,817
2018 28,084 10,220
2019 36,524 8,397
2020 41,382 11,259
2021 48,726 10,768
2022 40,242 10,027

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Annual growth of 500 vs. growth of Top 20

In USD

In six of the last ten years, the growth in assets managed by the largest 20 firms has exceeded the growth rate of the broader group of 500 firms. In 2022, the top 20 managers had a decrease of 15.5% versus a decrease of 13.7% for the top 500.

The 10-year CAGR of the top 20 was 5.9% versus 5.2% of the top 500.

Annual growth rates and market share:

Year Growth of Top 500 Growth of Top 20 Share Top 20/Top 500
2013 11.9% 10.8% 41.0%
2014 2.2% 3.7% 41.6%
2015 -1.7% -2.0% 41.4%
2016 5.6% 6.9% 41.9%
2017 15.5% 18.0% 42.8%
2018 -3.0% -4.6% 42.1%
2019 14.8% 17.3% 43.0%
2020 14.5% 17.2% 44.0%
2021 10.2% 13.0% 45.2%
2022 -13.7% -15.5% 44.2%

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