by Celero Playground
2026 Global M&A Mid -Year Outlook
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Complexity, conviction and confidence – driving record dealmaking, powered by AI momentum and strong boardroom action $3.2T 48 63% 50%
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The first half in rear view 17 ∆ 17
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Six forces that shaped the first half, and will steer the second 01 02 03 04 05 06
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Boards are pivoting from capital returns toward reinvestment , and markets are rewarding scale and growth
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The reinvestment shift is driving record mega -deals , supported by a policy -oriented and constructive regulatory backdrop 16 90% 11 80%+
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Cross -border M&A is strengthening, increasingly anchored in strategic resilience and security alignment
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Sponsors are more focused , deploying at scale while drawing on multiple pools of capital ~32,000 7 years $2.2T
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As volatility and uncertainty create openings, activists are leaning in , driving record campaign activity and clarity • • • • • • • • •
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All sectors grew year over year, contributing to a blockbuster first half ↑ 75% ↑ 25% ↑ 80% ↑ 35% ↑ 95% ↑ 65% ↑ 25% ↑ 1%↑20%
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AI is moving from narrative to execution , attracting massive capital and raising the bar for software defensibility $650B ~20% 53% 75%
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Clarity and adaptability will be the key to successful dealmaking
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Global Advisory and Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A)
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